Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000536 0.000620 0.000709 0.000811 0.000924 0.001045 0.001184
2025-06-15 0.000404 0.000518 0.000649 0.000809 0.000998 0.001212 0.001472
2025-06-22 0.000334 0.000459 0.000611 0.000805 0.001044 0.001325 0.001678
2025-06-29 0.000277 0.000407 0.000573 0.000793 0.001074 0.001415 0.001854
2025-07-06 0.000231 0.000362 0.000536 0.000776 0.001091 0.001485 0.002004
2025-07-13 0.000206 0.000342 0.000528 0.000792 0.001150 0.001605 0.002218
2025-07-20 0.000184 0.000321 0.000517 0.000803 0.001199 0.001713 0.002418
2025-07-27 0.000160 0.000295 0.000494 0.000795 0.001220 0.001785 0.002570
2025-08-03 0.000138 0.000269 0.000470 0.000782 0.001234 0.001844 0.002707
2025-08-10 0.000125 0.000255 0.000462 0.000791 0.001277 0.001944 0.002898
2025-08-17 0.000111 0.000239 0.000448 0.000790 0.001305 0.002022 0.003062
2025-08-24 0.000094 0.000215 0.000421 0.000766 0.001297 0.002049 0.003156
2025-08-31 0.000079 0.000194 0.000396 0.000743 0.001291 0.002080 0.003257
2025-09-07 0.000070 0.000181 0.000383 0.000741 0.001315 0.002154 0.003420
2025-09-14 0.000062 0.000169 0.000371 0.000738 0.001337 0.002225 0.003580
2025-09-21 0.000053 0.000155 0.000355 0.000726 0.001345 0.002275 0.003709
2025-09-28 0.000045 0.000141 0.000337 0.000710 0.001344 0.002310 0.003818
2025-10-05 0.000042 0.000137 0.000337 0.000726 0.001394 0.002424 0.004044
2025-10-12 0.000038 0.000132 0.000334 0.000735 0.001435 0.002525 0.004252
2025-10-19 0.000033 0.000123 0.000322 0.000728 0.001447 0.002580 0.004393
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000113 0.000309 0.000716 0.001451 0.002622 0.004515
2025-11-02 0.000026 0.000109 0.000306 0.000724 0.001489 0.002719 0.004721
2025-11-09 0.000023 0.000102 0.000299 0.000723 0.001510 0.002790 0.004889